Following the parliamentary elections I did some number crunching to get at the question: What has changed?
In my view, these are the three major points:
1. Consolidation: Half of the parties represented in the outgoing body will not have seats and there are fewer parties overall.
2. FRETILIN's Losses: The strength of returning parties has shifted, and, in the case of FRETILIN, dramatically.
3. Rise of New Parties: The three parties new to parliament will hold a third of the seats.
These are expanded upon below and more fully illustrated with the pie charts that I posted on 3 August. To refresh, this is the 2007-2012 seat configuration: FRETILIN 21, CNRT 18, ASDT/PSD 11, PD 8, PUN 3, KOTA/PPT 2, and UNDERTIM 2.
- PDC, PL, PNT, PST, UDT, and UDC will no longer have seats in parliament. These were small parties, together holding nine seats (10% of the 88-seat parliament). Of these six parties, PL and UDC did not field candidates in the 2007 election. There no independent members in the 2007-2012 body.
- The breakdown of seats among the reelected parties has shifted, the clearest example being the loss of seats by FRETILIN. In the last parliament, FRETILIN controlled 61.4 %. In the new parliament, they will hold 32.3 % of the seats.
- The changes are subtler for the other parties. Both PD and the ASDT/PSD coalition slightly increased their shares of parliamentary seats. PD has gained a seat, and the party will now control 12.3 % of the body, up from 7.9 %.
- As a coalition, ASDT and PSD (each of which held six seats in the 2002 body) lost a seat. However, because of the reduction of parliament to 65 seats, the coalition will control 16.9 %, up from 13.6 %.
- The strength of KOTA and PPT, which each held two seats in the outgoing parliament, has been reduced somewhat. In the new parliament, they will share two seats – a reduction in control from 4.6 % to 3.1 %.
- Of the three parties new to the parliament, PUN and CNRT were only formed in 2007. UNDERTIM was established in 2005. The implication is that these parties do not have as developed networks, identities and teams as more established groups. These new parties now control over one third of parliament.
The 2007 elections are behind us; let's see if this new parliament can get down to work and do some good. Bona fortuna!




